Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Should Investors Worry About ExxonMobil if Oil Prices Slip in 2026?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • ExxonMobil faces softer 2026 oil prices as EIA sees WTI at $53.42 vs the $65.40 registered in 2025.
  • XOM relies on low debt exposure and a strong balance sheet to manage pricing pressure.
  • XOM shares have risen 33.4% in a year and trade at 9.59X EV/EBITDA, above the industry average.

According to data from OilPrice.com, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is trading above $65 per barrel, which is favorable for the upstream operations of Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM - Free Report) . However, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) projects the spot average WTI price for 2026 at $53.42 per barrel, lower than $65.40 for 2025, owing to rising oil inventories. With XOM generating a king-size earnings from upstream operations, can it combat the softness in oil prices?

The advantageous assets where XOM is operating include the Permian, the most prolific basin in the United States and offshore Guyana resources. Although the assets have cost advantages, lower oil prices are likely to hurt profits. However, unlike many other companies, ExxonMobil can rely on its strong balance sheet.

ExxonMobil’s exposure to debt capital is significantly lower than that of the composite stocks belonging to the industry. The integrated energy giant can lean on its robust financials to navigate the low pricing environment, such as securing debt capital on favorable terms when the business scenario turns unfavorable.

CVX & EOG Can Also Brave Business Uncertainty

Chevron Corporation (CVX - Free Report) and EOG Resources Inc. (EOG - Free Report) are two leading energy companies with a strong presence in exploration and production activities. The softness in crude prices will likely hurt the bottom line of both CVX and EOG.

CVX and EOG have strong balance sheets like XOM. Debt-to-capitalization of Chevron and EOG is relatively lower than the industry, suggesting a considerably lower exposure to debt capital. Hence, they can brave the uncertainty of the business environment.

XOM’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

ExxonMobil shares have gained 34.6% over the past year compared with the 25.8% improvement of the composite stocks belonging to the industry.

 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

From a valuation standpoint, XOM trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 9.59X. This is above the broader industry average of 5.94X.

 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM’s 2026 earnings has seen upward revisions over the past 30 days.

 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

ExxonMobil currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Zacks' 7 Best Strong Buy Stocks (New Research Report)

Valued at $99, click below to receive our just-released report predicting the 7 stocks that will soar highest in the coming month.

Click Here, It's Really Free

Published in